--日央行行长暗示近几个月不会加息

日央行行长暗示近几个月不会加息Central-Bank Chief Signals Rate Increase Is Months Away 日本央行(Bank of Japan)行长福井俊彦(Toshihiko Fukui)强调了全球经济所面临的风险以及市场目前的不稳定状态，此前日本央行理事会投票决定继续维持利率不变。他的这一表态显示加息是几个月以后的事了。加上10月份这一次，日本央行理事会已连续第四个月以8比1的投票结果决定将基准利率继续维持在0.5%的水平。福井俊彦周四说，虽然世界经济预计将保持增长，但由于全球经济和金融市场依然不稳定，我们必须小心评估其事态发展。投票结果公布前，各方的猜测一直集中在央行理事会中货币政策立场最强硬的水野温氏(Atsushi Mizuno)身上，看他是否能让理事会中其他成员相信有必要立即加息。而他最终未能做到这一点则表明，日本央行对美国住房市场萧条所带来不利影响的担忧是多么深。福井俊彦说，美国住房市场的调整依然是决定美国经济前景的主要因素。美国是日本的主要出口市场。 JP摩根(J.P. Morgan)的日本政府债券策略师Akihiko Yokoyama说，如果此次投票的结果是7比2，市场人士可能就要猜测加息可能会提早到10月或11月了。他还说，就算投票结果仍是8比1，只要福井俊彦说过些能显示强硬货币政策立场的话，市场还是会作此联想。瑞士信贷(Credit Suisse)所作的一项调查显示，市场认为日本央行在11月份加息的几率是16%。日本央行理事会的下一次会议定于10月31日召开。 Bank of Japan Gov. Toshihiko Fukui emphasized global economic Samsung mobile X410 risks and unstable markets after the central bank voted again to keep interest rates steady, suggesting a rate increase remains months away. October marks the Samsung mobile Wep-150 fourth consecutive month the board has voted 8-1 to keep interest rates on hold at 0.5%. 'We must carefully examine developments Samsung mobile of the global economy and financial markets as they are still unstable, although the global economy is likely to keep expanding,' Mr. Fukui said Thursday. Speculation had centered on whether Atsushi Mizuno, the board's Sandstone Flowerpot most hawkish member, would convince any colleagues that an immediate rate increase was needed. His failure suggests the extent to which the central bank is Samsung mobile D600 concerned about the fallout from the U.S. housing downturn. Mr. Fukui said adjustments Samsung mobile D840 in the U.S. housing sector remain the primary factor in determining the outlook for the U.S. economy -- the main outlet for Japanese exports. 'If the vote had been 7-2, Sandstone Sandstone Column market participants would have started speculating about an early rate hike in October or November,' said Akihiko Yokoyama, Japanese government-bond strategist at J.P. Morgan. 'Even if the results were 8-1 but Fukui had Samsung mobile E898 said something hawkish...the market would have paid attention.' A Credit Suisse survey indicated markets see a 16% chance Samsung mobile P310 Japan's central bank will raise rates in November. Board members next meet Oct. 31.

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